We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Schottenstein Center · November 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -18.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money OSU -5000 / YSU +1500
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual OSU +34 128 Won
Massey OSU -3.8 (+30.2)
Massey Totals 144.5 (-16.5)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 88%
Baseline ML OSU -6.9 (+27.1) 138.4 (-10.4) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -5.9 (+28.1) 141.4 (-13.4) 60%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU YSU
Overall 17-15 21-13
Conference 9-11 13-7
Home 11-6 10-5
Away 4-7 9-6
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 1-0 1-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.8 73.7
Avg Pts Against 73.5 72.6
Massey 5.5 (#72) 12.7 (#13)
Bradley-Terry 1.36 (#47) 1.71 (#31)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#41) 2.59 (#24)
RPI 0.500 (#101)
Shooting & Four Factors OSU YSU
FG% 45.0% 43.3%
3PT% 50.0% 26.3%
REB / G 40.0 49.0
OREB / G 11.0 18.0
AST / TO 1.07 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.7% 47.5%
TOV% 21.2% 19.7%
ORB% 33.3% 45.0%
FT Rate 20.0% 38.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 41.9% 33.6%
Opp TOV% 12.8% 16.1%
DRB% 64.4% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 31.1%

Game Analysis

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