Betting Lines
| Spread | AF -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | AF -800 LIU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +9 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | AF -11.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AF -5.1 (-14.1) | 137.9 (-20.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AF -7.1 (-16.1) | 140.0 (-23.0) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | LIU 76 – 72 AF |
| Nov 10, 2023 | AF 82 – 67 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 12-4 |
| Home | 3-13 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#322) | -8.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#299) | -0.41 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#303) | -0.65 (#221) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 34.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 38.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 43.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.