Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -400 SFPA +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | CAM -20.3 (-21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -12.1 (-13.1) | 131.2 (-2.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -9.7 (-10.7) | 131.7 (-2.7) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2023 | SFPA 78 – 76 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 6-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#153) | -6.6 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#224) | -0.71 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#221) | -1.01 (#277) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 16.4% |
| FT Rate | 5.4% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 64.3% | 59.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 81.8% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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