Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -36.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +26 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -21.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -19.5 (+6.5) | 157.2 (+8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -18.5 (+7.5) | 157.0 (+9.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#184) | -9.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#147) | -0.48 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#149) | -0.74 (#242) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 60.0% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 22.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 47.3% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 10.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 7.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.