Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -1400 APP +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +31 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -31.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -29.4 (+1.6) | 139.5 (+3.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -26.4 (+4.6) | 140.6 (+2.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -20.9 (+10.1) | 141.4 (+1.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#88) | -14.8 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#80) | -3.15 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#84) | -5.16 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#76) | 0.000 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 26.4% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 83.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.1% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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