I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–9 on winners spread MAE 9.6 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama State @ Cincinnati +22.8 147.9 90% 59–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Marshall +5.4 140.1 68% 53–82 ✓
Colgate @ UNC Wilmington +9.6 140.7 77% 72–59 ✗
Milwaukee @ UCF +8.6 152.6 81% 76–84 ✓
Cornell @ Syracuse +5.6 158.8 74% 72–82 ✓
Rider @ Villanova +9.6 138.2 77% 48–72 ✓
UTEP @ UNC Greensboro -0.8 130.7 53% 64–58 ✓
Utah Valley @ Samford +3.4 162.0 70% 76–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia Tech +8.5 147.1 81% 67–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Little Rock +18.9 138.2 90% 59–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Saint Louis +5.9 153.8 74% 90–93 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Houston Christian -0.0 134.5 40% 74–71 ✓
Arizona @ Davidson +0.9 153.9 55% 104–71 ✗
Xavier @ Michigan +2.5 144.4 63% 53–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Loyola Marymount +0.2 135.1 51% 70–73 ✓
Stonehill @ Marquette +26.0 138.8 90% 59–94 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Montana -4.3 150.3 36% 75–83 ✗
Michigan State @ North Carolina +5.6 151.4 63% 94–91 ✗
SMU @ Washington State +0.3 155.4 51% 77–60 ✗
Alabama @ Rutgers -7.1 162.1 26% 95–90 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Pacific +16.9 150.2 89% 71–83 ✓
San José State @ Long Beach State -7.5 128.5 22% 82–66 ✓
Mercyhurst @ California +15.0 139.4 86% 55–81 ✓
UConn @ Dayton -1.6 148.1 44% 67–85 ✗
California Baptist @ Fresno State -0.8 148.4 47% 86–81 ✓
Houston @ Notre Dame -6.8 139.8 21% 65–54 ✓
West Virginia @ Louisville +2.1 143.6 65% 70–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Wichita State +4.1 130.5 71% 66–68 ✓
UT Arlington @ Rhode Island +8.7 155.6 83% 78–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ Indiana -8.5 149.1 23% 89–73 ✓
Florida @ Wake Forest -9.7 139.3 25% 75–58 ✓
NC State @ Purdue +3.0 140.6 62% 61–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ North Dakota State -3.8 150.1 35% 63–83 ✗
Illinois @ Arkansas -3.1 146.1 36% 90–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ TCU +5.8 143.8 71% 69–52 ✗
Arizona @ Oklahoma +1.9 150.2 63% 77–82 ✓
BYU @ Ole Miss -0.1 146.7 48% 85–96 ✗
Utah State @ St. Bonaventure -3.1 145.0 38% 72–67 ✓
Washington @ Colorado State -0.5 139.2 55% 73–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.