We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–17 on winners spread MAE 11.2 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northwestern @ Butler -0.1 133.5 60% 69–71 ✗
Kennesaw State @ UC Irvine +9.1 147.7 82% 59–76 ✓
Davidson @ Providence +3.7 141.2 64% 69–58 ✗
Northern Iowa @ North Texas +2.1 131.4 54% 48–68 ✓
Saint Mary's @ USC -1.6 146.0 46% 71–36 ✓
Mississippi State @ UNLV -4.4 148.1 30% 80–58 ✓
Kent State @ Towson -1.9 128.2 39% 65–54 ✓
Arizona State @ New Mexico +3.4 153.4 62% 85–82 ✗
Providence @ Indiana +0.5 137.2 58% 73–89 ✓
Alcorn State @ South Alabama +18.8 130.0 90% 65–74 ✓
Colgate @ App State -1.1 129.2 47% 50–72 ✗
Dartmouth @ Boston College +19.1 140.5 89% 88–83 ✗
Minnesota @ Wake Forest -1.6 125.8 50% 51–57 ✗
Bowling Green @ Weber State +1.4 145.4 50% 70–73 ✓
Valparaiso @ DePaul +19.4 149.3 89% 70–89 ✓
TCU @ Colorado State -3.6 137.8 40% 72–76 ✗
Merrimack @ Troy +14.4 132.0 82% 72–68 ✗
Maine @ Elon +7.5 140.7 77% 69–56 ✗
Niagara @ Binghamton -1.8 143.3 34% 65–62 ✓
VMI @ George Washington +12.0 145.6 84% 64–77 ✓
Tarleton State @ Iona +4.0 132.4 79% 51–62 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Ohio State +5.9 146.5 67% 91–90 ✗
Arizona @ West Virginia -0.2 149.6 66% 76–83 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Vanderbilt +13.2 151.5 84% 56–87 ✓
Morehead State @ Cleveland State +7.4 131.8 69% 71–69 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +4.6 141.1 63% 59–72 ✓
Wichita State @ Florida +6.3 148.5 63% 51–88 ✓
NC State @ BYU +1.5 147.3 53% 61–72 ✓
Pepperdine @ New Mexico State +5.6 138.8 74% 82–70 ✗
West Georgia @ Samford +13.0 149.5 83% 65–86 ✓
Sam Houston @ UNC Wilmington +1.5 152.1 60% 60–69 ✓
George Mason @ James Madison +4.1 148.4 65% 66–61 ✗
Holy Cross @ Virginia +6.5 131.7 73% 41–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Washington -1.6 139.1 45% 69–76 ✗
Long Island University @ Lafayette +2.6 141.6 60% 56–75 ✓
Navy @ Pennsylvania +4.6 149.0 59% 86–78 ✗
Indiana State @ Arkansas State +6.8 147.9 79% 81–86 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Belmont +3.7 150.9 66% 74–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ East Carolina +7.1 148.7 77% 69–93 ✓
Oklahoma @ Louisville +3.6 145.2 59% 69–64 ✗
Ole Miss @ Purdue +2.6 143.8 64% 78–80 ✓
Utah State @ North Texas -2.5 137.8 34% 61–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.