Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | ECU -1000 NCAT +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +24 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -9.5 (+14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -8.5 (+15.5) | 150.0 (+12.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -7.1 (+16.9) | 148.7 (+13.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -7.5 (+16.5) | 147.2 (+14.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -9.6 (+14.4) | 151.6 (+10.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | ECU 82 – 71 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#164) | -3.5 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#174) | -0.77 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#189) | -0.96 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#161) | 0.474 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.