They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Conte Forum · November 29, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread BC -16.5 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money BC -1700 / DART +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total BC win
Actual DART +5 171 Lost
Massey BC -21.9 (-26.9)
Massey Totals 139.4 (+31.6)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML BC -18.7 (-23.7) 142.2 (+28.8) 88%
Baseline ML BC -19.1 (-24.1) 140.5 (+30.5) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML BC -16.9 (-21.9) 140.8 (+30.2) 89%
Efficiency Plus ML BC -19.8 (-24.8) 145.4 (+25.6) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 10, 2021 BC 7357 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BC DART
Overall 12-19 14-14
Conference 4-16 8-6
Home 9-8 9-4
Away 0-10 5-9
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 5-0 1-3
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 70.4 74.2
Avg Pts Against 75.8 73.5
Massey 2.2 (#132) -13.8 (#349)
Bradley-Terry 1.73 (#59) -2.00 (#316)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.12 (#80) -3.18 (#320)
RPI 0.619 (#36) 0.370 (#337)
Shooting & Four Factors BC DART
FG% 42.0% 38.8%
3PT% 37.3% 26.7%
REB / G 40.0 35.0
OREB / G 13.6 8.5
AST / TO 0.97 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 44.9%
TOV% 18.2% 18.1%
ORB% 36.0% 22.2%
FT Rate 23.9% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.2% 54.2%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 14.6%
DRB% 71.2% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.3% 17.5%

Game Analysis

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