Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | TOW +105 KENT -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +11 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -2.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -1.9 (-9.1) | 128.0 (-9.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -1.9 (-9.1) | 126.6 (-7.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -2.3 (-8.7) | 128.3 (-9.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -2.7 (-8.3) | 127.1 (-8.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2021 | TOW 73 – 58 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#176) | 1.4 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#134) | 2.67 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#165) | 4.20 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#74) | 0.557 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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