Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -240 MORE +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +2 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -7.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.8 (-7.8) | 130.5 (+9.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -7.4 (-9.4) | 131.8 (+8.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -6.9 (-8.9) | 131.2 (+8.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -4.4 (-6.4) | 129.4 (+10.6) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#316) | -10.8 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#131) | -1.51 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#134) | -2.54 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#105) | 0.446 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 22.0% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 11.7% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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