I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 9.9 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Kansas State +1.8 145.0 63% 76–82 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara -1.8 134.7 42% 67–64 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +9.6 156.8 82% 80–68 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Fullerton +5.3 132.5 64% 52–64 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +10.1 133.2 85% 61–82 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +11.3 131.1 83% 68–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho State +1.9 146.7 57% 83–90 ✓
Portland @ BYU +7.6 150.2 78% 58–71 ✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +9.8 126.1 79% 48–57 ✓
Vermont @ UMBC +2.2 142.9 60% 74–61 ✗
Indiana State @ Valparaiso -6.1 151.4 27% 68–50 ✓
Murray State @ Evansville -1.5 138.7 42% 78–61 ✓
Cornell @ Dartmouth -9.5 145.8 16% 74–63 ✓
Siena @ Fairfield +0.6 136.6 51% 70–61 ✗
Providence @ DePaul -6.7 153.5 26% 74–59 ✓
Cincinnati @ Temple -2.2 144.9 38% 61–70 ✗
Tulsa @ SMU +5.2 140.4 68% 67–92 ✓
USC @ Washington State +2.0 137.0 63% 71–81 ✓
Drake @ Missouri State +3.9 134.0 69% 49–52 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Manhattan -6.7 148.1 29% 84–65 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Iona +18.1 137.1 90% 55–73 ✓
Maryland @ Michigan -1.0 141.7 50% 46–81 ✗
Memphis @ Tulane -1.9 155.4 39% 89–96 ✗
Belmont @ Southern Illinois +4.9 138.4 72% 45–63 ✓
Iowa @ Penn State +3.3 151.1 69% 79–83 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown -4.0 143.9 29% 80–51 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.