I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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20–6 on winners spread MAE 7.1 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Drexel @ UNC Wilmington +11.9 134.8 86% 53–65 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -8.8 152.7 21% 95–83 ✓
Oakland @ Youngstown State +1.6 150.2 53% 85–83 ✗
Samford @ VMI -4.1 149.2 48% 78–58 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +1.6 154.7 57% 82–81 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama +10.2 136.0 88% 70–67 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota +1.1 140.6 54% 61–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Northern Kentucky +11.1 161.8 86% 72–81 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +7.4 145.3 79% 70–76 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.1 144.9 72% 72–54 ✗
Jacksonville @ Lipscomb +12.9 145.2 87% 57–76 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas +1.4 155.3 60% 83–85 ✓
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois +8.6 144.8 80% 70–75 ✓
Evansville @ Illinois State +19.6 141.3 89% 47–73 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Arlington +0.5 131.5 48% 51–63 ✓
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro +0.5 144.9 60% 72–77 ✓
Portland State @ Weber State +1.4 145.4 58% 95–90 ✗
Western Illinois @ UT Martin +16.2 137.5 88% 60–67 ✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +8.4 138.2 82% 55–59 ✓
Morehead State @ Lindenwood +9.1 148.6 83% 64–77 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis +5.1 158.5 71% 80–89 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield -8.3 142.5 21% 81–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe -9.5 152.1 22% 87–73 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +7.6 147.0 79% 69–84 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +3.1 143.4 65% 64–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock -4.4 141.3 37% 58–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.