Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–5 on winners spread MAE 8.1 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bradley @ Belmont +9.0 152.7 76% 78–88 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Queens University +4.2 155.1 73% 89–91 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Georgia +1.4 148.7 63% 85–87 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa +10.8 133.0 84% 66–75 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Riverside -9.3 144.8 28% 88–45 ✓
North Florida @ Austin Peay +14.3 150.9 88% 83–102 ✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -1.5 142.9 46% 91–85 ✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +2.5 138.4 66% 79–64 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +7.5 144.4 76% 59–68 ✓
Murray State @ UIC -8.8 154.2 30% 81–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana State +1.7 153.5 61% 75–89 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +12.3 146.0 86% 84–97 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton +0.8 156.1 52% 84–95 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -9.8 156.5 23% 65–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Florida International -1.4 151.6 50% 74–89 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Merrimack +6.9 133.0 74% 65–75 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Niagara -4.8 134.1 32% 61–64 ✗
Fairfield @ Canisius -5.3 132.9 34% 81–85 ✗
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +0.8 157.3 53% 91–102 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.