Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–8 on winners spread MAE 9.1 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Santa Clara @ Saint Louis +0.3 147.7 47% 70–71 ✓
Georgetown @ Dayton +1.1 142.3 56% 79–84 ✓
Duke @ Arkansas -7.1 157.7 23% 80–71 ✓
Wichita State @ Colorado State -2.3 139.6 38% 70–76 ✗
Stanford @ Minnesota -0.4 141.4 37% 72–68 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Northwestern +8.1 154.1 72% 86–81 ✗
Virginia Tech @ VCU +1.9 149.1 58% 68–86 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Purdue +34.9 134.8 91% 62–109 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb -5.1 134.5 21% 76–68 ✓
Northeastern @ Wake Forest +18.0 149.8 87% 73–86 ✓
Illinois @ UConn +1.6 148.7 45% 61–74 ✓
Richmond @ Charlotte -4.4 140.0 33% 71–66 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Vanderbilt +3.3 150.2 59% 71–96 ✓
Longwood @ Siena +6.1 144.1 76% 63–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Nevada -1.0 143.9 45% 65–81 ✗
Indiana State @ Alcorn State -8.1 141.9 18% 74–81 ✗
Cleveland State @ Missouri +30.6 159.9 91% 59–86 ✓
Texas State @ Seattle U +8.6 134.0 81% 52–66 ✓
Southern Utah @ Robert Morris +20.3 150.2 91% 54–61 ✓
Oklahoma @ Marquette -1.7 152.9 36% 75–74 ✓
Monmouth @ Ball State -4.5 129.7 32% 80–73 ✓
Hofstra @ La Salle -3.0 139.1 41% 63–58 ✓
Wright State @ Butler +15.5 145.5 87% 69–94 ✓
Providence @ Florida +8.9 165.0 75% 78–90 ✓
Furman @ Illinois State +8.2 136.9 81% 65–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Arkansas State +1.0 149.7 58% 80–85 ✓
Nicholls @ Tulane +5.1 151.1 56% 72–82 ✓
Chicago State @ Youngstown State +11.7 144.1 84% 64–87 ✓
Navy @ UNC Wilmington +5.7 137.0 68% 57–87 ✓
Maine @ American University +7.6 134.8 62% 61–74 ✓
NJIT @ Eastern Michigan +13.8 139.4 87% 55–73 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Davidson +7.4 143.0 70% 74–90 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina +15.4 154.6 87% 62–74 ✓
Queens University @ Virginia +22.7 155.5 89% 69–94 ✓
Colorado State @ South Florida +4.4 153.3 72% 83–68 ✗
Washington @ Colorado -0.4 156.7 44% 68–81 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Lehigh -3.1 143.6 36% 72–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Lafayette +1.3 148.3 58% 76–63 ✗
Merrimack @ Pennsylvania +7.7 146.1 75% 65–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida State +10.7 159.2 80% 95–59 ✗
Wisconsin @ TCU +1.1 149.4 47% 63–74 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Xavier +9.4 141.2 82% 67–88 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Idaho State +4.1 143.3 64% 50–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.