And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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23–5 on winners spread MAE 11.0 28 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northern Kentucky @ Dayton +5.8 133.5 70% 60–66 ✓
Ball State @ Northern Illinois -6.7 135.2 27% 79–70 ✓
Rider @ St. John's +18.3 156.1 95% 79–82 ✓
Kent State @ Detroit Mercy +3.5 149.1 62% 80–66 ✗
Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's +11.0 127.8 84% 57–75 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson +11.1 162.8 84% 94–87 ✗
Montana @ Georgia +11.3 150.8 85% 50–63 ✓
Coppin State @ Georgetown +6.9 141.5 73% 48–80 ✓
Boston College @ Minnesota +6.6 153.1 72% 80–85 ✓
North Carolina @ Iowa +10.9 151.2 84% 80–93 ✓
Ohio State @ Notre Dame -0.9 141.9 47% 90–85 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Saint Louis +26.0 162.4 99% 65–88 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Memphis +43.5 163.1 100% 57–94 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State +18.4 157.1 95% 78–83 ✓
Austin Peay @ Murray State +1.2 146.6 55% 57–87 ✓
Penn State @ Virginia Tech +13.2 157.9 89% 75–55 ✗
Green Bay @ Marquette +28.5 148.0 100% 68–82 ✓
Illinois @ Duke -8.5 150.3 22% 83–68 ✓
Syracuse @ Rutgers +1.5 144.4 55% 69–79 ✓
UC Irvine @ USC +18.5 144.0 95% 56–91 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson +11.1 162.8 84% 71–79 ✓
Rhode Island @ Wisconsin +7.2 138.6 74% 62–73 ✓
Furman @ Cincinnati -6.6 135.5 27% 73–78 ✗
Maryland @ Clemson +0.4 130.8 51% 51–67 ✓
Providence @ TCU +9.0 124.0 79% 79–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Miami (OH) +12.0 137.0 86% 57–67 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Richmond +20.4 160.8 97% 68–78 ✓
Toledo @ Michigan +3.1 147.8 61% 71–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.