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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
16–9 on winners
spread MAE 9.9
25 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Creighton
@
Providence
|
+2.1 | 144.2 | 67% | 86–94 | ✓ |
NC State
@
Syracuse
|
-1.0 | 146.8 | 46% | 72–75 | ✗ |
Southern Illinois
@
Valparaiso
|
-4.8 | 131.6 | 33% | 66–62 | ✓ |
Notre Dame
@
Duke
|
+13.1 | 138.9 | 88% | 64–68 | ✓ |
Illinois
@
Penn State
|
-2.0 | 141.5 | 43% | 81–93 | ✗ |
Missouri
@
Auburn
|
+6.8 | 151.7 | 76% | 56–89 | ✓ |
Loyola Chicago
@
Massachusetts
|
+5.8 | 142.6 | 74% | 64–62 | ✗ |
Akron
@
Eastern Michigan
|
-9.3 | 148.2 | 20% | 78–51 | ✓ |
Miami (OH)
@
Toledo
|
+16.0 | 152.8 | 88% | 71–89 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Ball State
|
+7.2 | 147.4 | 81% | 77–87 | ✓ |
Central Michigan
@
Bowling Green
|
+4.4 | 142.8 | 68% | 77–74 | ✗ |
Buffalo
@
Ohio
|
+5.0 | 155.8 | 72% | 61–85 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Western Michigan
|
-12.3 | 140.1 | 15% | 82–58 | ✓ |
Butler
@
Villanova
|
+6.4 | 129.7 | 80% | 50–62 | ✓ |
Nebraska
@
Rutgers
|
+12.1 | 133.7 | 83% | 82–72 | ✗ |
LSU
@
Georgia
|
+1.9 | 139.3 | 62% | 63–65 | ✓ |
Kansas
@
Oklahoma State
|
+0.4 | 137.8 | 53% | 87–76 | ✗ |
Kansas State
@
Oklahoma
|
-1.7 | 139.3 | 48% | 65–79 | ✗ |
Boston College
@
Pittsburgh
|
+10.6 | 141.9 | 85% | 58–77 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
DePaul
|
-1.3 | 156.8 | 43% | 92–83 | ✓ |
Michigan
@
Wisconsin
|
+2.6 | 130.6 | 65% | 59–64 | ✓ |
Air Force
@
Utah State
|
+13.0 | 140.4 | 87% | 65–80 | ✓ |
Wyoming
@
New Mexico
|
+10.1 | 150.4 | 83% | 70–56 | ✗ |
San José State
@
UNLV
|
+4.7 | 137.4 | 68% | 75–66 | ✗ |
Ole Miss
@
Florida
|
+8.0 | 140.3 | 79% | 64–79 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.