Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -133 MICH +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -2.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.7 (+3.3) | 133.3 (-10.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.6 (+2.4) | 130.6 (-7.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.5 (+2.5) | 132.1 (-9.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.9 (+3.1) | 133.3 (-10.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#76) | 8.6 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#50) | 1.29 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#54) | 2.09 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#81) | 0.547 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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