Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -250 SJSU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +9 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -6.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -4.4 (-13.4) | 138.2 (+2.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -4.7 (-13.7) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -4.7 (-13.7) | 138.8 (+2.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -5.0 (-14.0) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | UNLV 82 – 75 SJSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UNLV 76 – 62 SJSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UNLV 77 – 71 SJSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNLV 79 – 73 SJSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#84) | 3.9 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#82) | 1.09 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#67) | 1.35 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#72) | 0.555 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.