Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
New Mexico Lobos
56 – 70
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · The Pit · February 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UNM -9.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money UNM -500 / WYO +333
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual WYO +14 126 Lost
Massey UNM -14.2 (-28.2) — —
Massey Totals — 154.5 (-28.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UNM -12.0 (-26.0) 154.0 (-28.0) 85% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNM -10.1 (-24.1) 150.4 (-24.4) 83% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UNM -12.2 (-26.2) 153.4 (-27.4) 87% ✗
Baseline ML UNM -12.1 (-26.1) 155.1 (-29.1) 85% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 4, 2026 UNM 78 – 58 WYO
Feb 13, 2025 UNM 71 – 67 WYO
Jan 8, 2025 UNM 61 – 53 WYO
Feb 7, 2024 UNM 91 – 73 WYO
Jan 7, 2024 UNM 77 – 60 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM WYO
Overall 22-12 9-22
Conference 8-10 4-14
Home 15-5 7-8
Away 5-6 1-8
Neutral 2-1 1-6
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 80.2 68.1
Avg Pts Against 74.6 72.2
Massey 10.2 (#49) -0.4 (#180)
Bradley-Terry 1.89 (#45) -0.68 (#244)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.29 (#46) -0.60 (#229)
RPI 0.587 (#37) 0.470 (#234)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM WYO
FG% 48.8% 44.7%
3PT% 35.5% 35.0%
REB / G 37.3 31.8
OREB / G 9.8 7.8
AST / TO 1.12 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 52.5%
TOV% 16.7% 18.3%
ORB% 29.0% 24.2%
FT Rate 29.5% 22.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 16.7%
DRB% 75.1% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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