Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | DEP +100 SJU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +9 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | SJU -1.3 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -0.8 (-8.2) | 158.7 (+16.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -1.3 (-7.7) | 156.8 (+18.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -1.2 (-7.8) | 156.4 (+18.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -1.1 (-7.9) | 156.0 (+19.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SJU 68 – 56 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2025 | SJU 79 – 66 DEP |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SJU 82 – 58 DEP |
| Dec 17, 2024 | SJU 89 – 61 DEP |
| Mar 6, 2024 | SJU 104 – 77 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#158) | 5.3 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#154) | 1.07 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#153) | 1.49 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#185) | 0.514 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.