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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–4 on winners spread MAE 7.0 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mercer @ The Citadel -0.5 153.2 38% 71–64 ✓
Belmont @ SIU Edwardsville -11.4 145.1 20% 80–64 ✓
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +8.4 139.7 81% 58–70 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner +17.2 140.7 90% 64–95 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart +7.3 140.7 75% 66–74 ✓
Saint Francis @ Bryant +7.5 151.7 74% 52–82 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth -0.3 139.2 43% 60–59 ✓
Kennesaw State @ North Florida -6.0 138.3 27% 62–60 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +8.2 143.1 78% 86–78 ✗
Delaware @ Northeastern -1.5 135.1 42% 82–76 ✓
Towson @ William & Mary -14.2 135.5 13% 91–69 ✓
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin +14.0 135.5 86% 78–86 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada -4.2 144.8 35% 77–67 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +4.9 150.3 73% 72–74 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +6.5 132.0 74% 63–55 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois -2.2 124.6 31% 60–59 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -1.8 132.0 40% 63–69 ✗
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -6.4 143.0 20% 78–70 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State +6.9 145.2 70% 74–73 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -5.7 138.8 31% 81–56 ✓
Portland State @ Southern Utah +10.5 140.5 85% 76–86 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho State -12.2 135.7 14% 78–61 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist -0.5 142.9 39% 92–85 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +5.0 135.9 63% 57–65 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia -5.3 134.8 29% 77–68 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +13.8 137.7 88% 73–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.