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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–11 on winners
spread MAE 10.7
19 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bradley
@
Illinois State
|
-2.0 | 148.6 | 44% | 65–74 | ✗ |
Purdue
@
Illinois
|
+2.6 | 149.3 | 55% | 96–88 | ✗ |
Tennessee Tech
@
Tennessee State
|
-1.6 | 147.5 | 48% | 64–80 | ✗ |
George Mason
@
George Washington
|
-8.1 | 137.6 | 23% | 76–77 | ✗ |
Notre Dame
@
Howard
|
-5.1 | 141.3 | 32% | 71–68 | ✓ |
Long Island University
@
St. Francis Brooklyn
|
-2.1 | 140.2 | 37% | 80–65 | ✓ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
Merrimack
|
+2.6 | 123.3 | 48% | 57–50 | ✗ |
Utah
@
Arizona State
|
-0.4 | 137.3 | 55% | 62–64 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+3.8 | 139.6 | 64% | 67–96 | ✓ |
UMBC
@
Stony Brook
|
+1.7 | 148.4 | 65% | 51–65 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
Maryland Eastern Shore
|
+0.3 | 137.0 | 49% | 72–58 | ✗ |
Pennsylvania
@
Princeton
|
+5.5 | 149.6 | 77% | 64–74 | ✓ |
La Salle
@
Saint Joseph's
|
+8.2 | 149.1 | 82% | 75–64 | ✗ |
Drexel
@
Hofstra
|
+4.8 | 147.7 | 69% | 68–71 | ✓ |
James Madison
@
Elon
|
-3.0 | 141.2 | 38% | 67–90 | ✗ |
Murray State
@
Eastern Illinois
|
-16.5 | 130.2 | 11% | 72–46 | ✓ |
Yale
@
Brown
|
+0.8 | 142.1 | 50% | 66–63 | ✗ |
Texas Southern
@
Jackson State
|
-5.3 | 127.9 | 28% | 58–61 | ✗ |
Indiana
@
Nebraska
|
-9.8 | 148.6 | 17% | 78–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.