Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -3.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -0.8 (-3.8) | 142.1 (-13.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -1.4 (-4.4) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -1.3 (-4.3) | 143.8 (-14.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -1.1 (-4.1) | 145.0 (-16.0) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | 1.0 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#202) | -0.13 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#199) | 0.15 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#182) | 0.515 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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