Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -2.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -2.0 (+11.0) | 148.6 (-9.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -0.7 (+9.7) | 152.4 (-13.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -1.4 (+10.4) | 152.7 (-13.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -1.8 (+10.8) | 152.5 (-13.5) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-11 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#197) | 4.5 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#239) | -0.57 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#241) | -0.57 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#233) | 0.465 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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