Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -2.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -5.3 (+8.3) | 127.9 (-8.9) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -3.5 (+6.5) | 129.8 (-10.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -2.9 (+5.9) | 130.9 (-11.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -3.8 (+6.8) | 129.7 (-10.7) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 57 JKST |
| Jan 20, 2026 | JKST 94 – 89 TXSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | JKST 67 – 52 TXSO |
| Jan 20, 2025 | TXSO 81 – 73 JKST |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 62 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 5-15 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#261) | 0.7 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#290) | -0.19 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#296) | 0.03 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#263) | 0.485 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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