Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | IU -10.7 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -9.8 (+2.8) | 148.6 (+0.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -10.8 (+3.8) | 146.2 (+2.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -11.6 (+4.6) | 145.9 (+3.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -10.6 (+3.6) | 147.9 (+1.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | NEB 83 – 77 IU |
| Dec 14, 2024 | NEB 85 – 68 IU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | NEB 93 – 66 IU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | NEB 85 – 70 IU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | NEB 86 – 70 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-12 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#216) | 12.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#232) | 1.95 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#193) | 2.93 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#212) | 0.592 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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