Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -7.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -5.5 (+4.5) | 149.6 (-11.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.2 (+3.8) | 152.6 (-14.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -6.3 (+3.7) | 153.6 (-15.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -6.8 (+3.2) | 154.8 (-16.8) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | PENN 61 – 60 PRIN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | PRIN 78 – 76 PENN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PRIN 95 – 71 PENN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | PRIN 61 – 59 PENN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PRIN 105 – 83 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#136) | -2.4 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#80) | -0.76 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#98) | -0.70 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#111) | 0.458 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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