Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -0.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -0.4 (+2.4) | 137.3 (-11.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -0.8 (+1.2) | 137.1 (-11.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -0.6 (+1.4) | 136.8 (-10.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -0.3 (+1.7) | 138.8 (-12.8) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#163) | 4.2 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#140) | 0.23 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#176) | 0.41 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#113) | 0.518 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.