Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -6.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.8 (-1.8) | 147.7 (-8.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.2 (-2.2) | 149.0 (-10.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -5.5 (-2.5) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -5.5 (-2.5) | 150.4 (-11.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HOF 62 – 51 DREX |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOF 70 – 67 DREX |
| Jan 20, 2025 | DREX 60 – 55 HOF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | HOF 69 – 57 DREX |
| Feb 16, 2024 | DREX 79 – 77 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | 0.8 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#90) | 0.30 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#90) | 0.35 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#56) | 0.504 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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