Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +14 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -1.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-37.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -1.7 (+12.3) | 148.4 (-32.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -1.9 (+12.1) | 149.7 (-33.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -1.7 (+12.3) | 149.8 (-33.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -1.8 (+12.2) | 150.2 (-34.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2022 | UMBC 95 – 84 STBK |
| Feb 8, 2021 | UMBC 60 – 48 STBK |
| Feb 7, 2021 | UMBC 71 – 65 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#257) | -2.8 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#143) | -0.80 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#154) | -0.81 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#169) | 0.458 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.8% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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