Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +29 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -3.3 (+25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -3.8 (+25.2) | 139.6 (+23.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -1.3 (+27.7) | 142.1 (+20.9) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -1.9 (+27.1) | 143.3 (+19.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.2 (+26.8) | 140.0 (+23.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
Game Analysis
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