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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
23–3 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
26 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penn State
@
Ohio State
|
+5.8 | 147.7 | 74% | 79–83 | ✓ |
Creighton
@
Seton Hall
|
-0.0 | 149.1 | 53% | 85–81 | ✓ |
Virginia Tech
@
Notre Dame
|
-1.3 | 138.2 | 43% | 62–51 | ✓ |
Mercer
@
UNC Greensboro
|
+3.4 | 143.4 | 65% | 68–81 | ✓ |
Marquette
@
Providence
|
+2.6 | 135.8 | 65% | 63–72 | ✓ |
Georgia
@
South Carolina
|
+1.5 | 154.4 | 63% | 59–83 | ✓ |
Western Carolina
@
VMI
|
+3.3 | 156.0 | 66% | 61–87 | ✓ |
LSU New Orleans
@
Northwestern State
|
+0.2 | 148.1 | 44% | 73–81 | ✓ |
East Carolina
@
UCF
|
+4.7 | 128.3 | 68% | 64–71 | ✓ |
Wake Forest
@
NC State
|
+3.2 | 138.5 | 66% | 67–72 | ✓ |
McNeese
@
Nicholls
|
+14.8 | 153.4 | 88% | 69–76 | ✓ |
Houston Christian
@
Incarnate Word
|
+4.5 | 145.1 | 57% | 73–57 | ✗ |
Sam Houston
@
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
|
-8.3 | 141.5 | 17% | 75–70 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
Abilene Christian
|
+10.2 | 136.3 | 77% | 62–82 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Arkansas
|
+5.2 | 139.1 | 75% | 59–74 | ✓ |
Kansas State
@
Baylor
|
+21.2 | 137.1 | 90% | 59–107 | ✓ |
Wisconsin
@
Maryland
|
-0.0 | 130.1 | 52% | 61–55 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Clemson
|
+1.5 | 128.6 | 67% | 50–54 | ✓ |
Drake
@
Missouri State
|
-3.8 | 142.0 | 35% | 78–73 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
DePaul
|
+0.5 | 151.1 | 46% | 81–68 | ✗ |
Washington State
@
Colorado
|
+13.6 | 137.6 | 87% | 58–70 | ✓ |
Boise State
@
Colorado State
|
-0.6 | 142.8 | 53% | 56–78 | ✗ |
Central Arkansas
@
SE Louisiana
|
+0.0 | 146.2 | 58% | 57–69 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
UNLV
|
-3.9 | 132.9 | 35% | 83–74 | ✓ |
Merrimack
@
Long Island University
|
+4.9 | 137.2 | 69% | 68–78 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
USC
|
+13.6 | 140.7 | 85% | 62–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.