Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MOST +170 DRKE -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -6.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -4.2 (-0.8) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -3.8 (-1.2) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -2.8 (-2.2) | 145.3 (+5.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -3.3 (-1.7) | 142.5 (+8.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | DRKE 68 – 60 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DRKE 69 – 62 MOST |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MOST 83 – 80 DRKE |
| Dec 2, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 57 MOST |
| Jan 19, 2023 | MOST 65 – 62 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 26-5 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-2 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#83) | 15.6 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#80) | 3.79 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#91) | 4.87 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#88) | 0.593 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 51.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 42.5% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.