Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MD +163 WIS -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -0.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -0.9 (-6.9) | 134.0 (-18.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.0 (-6.0) | 130.1 (-14.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -1.1 (-7.1) | 132.9 (-16.9) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -1.0 (-7.0) | 132.3 (-16.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WIS 78 – 45 MD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | MD 76 – 68 WIS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WIS 87 – 56 MD |
| Feb 21, 2024 | WIS 74 – 70 MD |
| Jan 26, 2023 | MD 73 – 55 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#41) | 14.6 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#33) | 2.63 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#28) | 3.86 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#29) | 0.595 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.