Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | NWST -110 NOLA +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -0.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -0.3 (+8.3) | 148.5 (+5.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -0.2 (+7.8) | 148.1 (+5.9) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -0.7 (+8.7) | 151.9 (+2.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -0.2 (+7.8) | 152.0 (+2.0) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#319) | -8.9 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.30 (#337) | -2.62 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.87 (#338) | -3.54 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#303) | 0.370 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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