Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SELA +110 CARK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +12 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | CARK -2.2 (+14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -0.7 (+12.7) | 148.3 (-22.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.0 (+12.0) | 146.2 (-20.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -0.7 (+12.7) | 150.2 (-24.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -0.3 (+12.3) | 149.3 (-23.3) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2021 | CARK 88 – 71 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-18 | 5-19 |
| Conference | 5-10 | 4-12 |
| Home | 3-4 | 4-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#331) | -8.5 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#313) | -1.96 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#329) | -2.86 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#285) | 0.457 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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