Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LIU -270 MRMK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -7.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -5.1 (+4.9) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -4.9 (+5.1) | 137.2 (+8.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -4.4 (+5.6) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.0 (+5.0) | 136.9 (+9.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | MRMK 72 – 66 LIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | MRMK 83 – 68 LIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRMK 82 – 79 LIU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MRMK 91 – 76 LIU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MRMK 80 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#174) | -5.6 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#178) | -0.07 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#160) | -0.24 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#204) | 0.473 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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