Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -1000 MCN +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -19.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -16.6 (-9.6) | 152.2 (-7.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -14.8 (-7.8) | 153.4 (-8.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -16.7 (-9.7) | 152.8 (-7.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -17.3 (-10.3) | 153.6 (-8.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 10-14 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 4-10 |
| Home | 8-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#184) | -17.7 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#174) | -4.06 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#196) | -5.75 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#183) | 0.294 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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