Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CSU +150 BOIS -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -2.3 (+24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -0.5 (+22.5) | 144.2 (-10.2) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -0.6 (+22.6) | 142.8 (-8.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.4 (+21.6) | 145.3 (-11.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -0.9 (+21.1) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-8 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#63) | 13.6 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#43) | 3.56 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#72) | 4.81 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#28) | 0.637 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 79.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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