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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
17–9 on winners
spread MAE 7.7
26 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma
@
Texas
|
+3.9 | 142.7 | 62% | 80–79 | ✗ |
Kentucky
@
Alabama
|
+9.3 | 147.6 | 85% | 59–70 | ✓ |
Mississippi State
@
Tennessee
|
+9.7 | 130.9 | 85% | 53–56 | ✓ |
SMU
@
Memphis
|
+1.8 | 140.3 | 60% | 72–76 | ✓ |
North Carolina
@
Pittsburgh
|
+0.6 | 143.3 | 47% | 75–65 | ✗ |
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Saint Francis
|
+8.0 | 143.9 | 78% | 94–92 | ✗ |
Toledo
@
Miami (OH)
|
-4.1 | 148.4 | 33% | 90–81 | ✓ |
Eastern Michigan
@
Akron
|
+13.1 | 148.2 | 88% | 65–86 | ✓ |
Drake
@
Missouri State
|
-4.5 | 142.4 | 28% | 68–61 | ✓ |
SIU Edwardsville
@
Eastern Illinois
|
+3.2 | 143.3 | 62% | 87–74 | ✗ |
Dayton
@
Saint Louis
|
+11.7 | 134.6 | 83% | 76–71 | ✗ |
Butler
@
UConn
|
+9.5 | 126.4 | 82% | 51–63 | ✓ |
Missouri
@
Auburn
|
+1.3 | 144.5 | 66% | 82–88 | ✓ |
Southeast Missouri State
@
UT Martin
|
-6.2 | 141.6 | 31% | 66–69 | ✗ |
Georgia Tech
@
Duke
|
+0.6 | 143.1 | 51% | 68–75 | ✓ |
LSU
@
Texas A&M
|
-6.0 | 140.1 | 29% | 78–66 | ✓ |
BYU
@
Pepperdine
|
-6.1 | 145.4 | 32% | 73–76 | ✗ |
Merrimack
@
Long Island University
|
+9.2 | 141.3 | 82% | 68–63 | ✗ |
Towson
@
James Madison
|
+5.5 | 143.1 | 71% | 63–78 | ✓ |
|
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Saint Francis
|
+8.1 | 146.7 | 78% | 82–90 | ✓ |
Bowling Green
@
Kent State
|
+7.0 | 154.4 | 72% | 91–96 | ✓ |
Rhode Island
@
La Salle
|
-4.7 | 136.9 | 35% | 73–60 | ✓ |
Wofford
@
The Citadel
|
-4.1 | 153.8 | 40% | 69–77 | ✗ |
Miami
@
Florida State
|
+13.7 | 142.1 | 87% | 59–81 | ✓ |
Duquesne
@
Fordham
|
-6.0 | 129.4 | 24% | 86–62 | ✓ |
Vanderbilt
@
Florida
|
+13.3 | 147.4 | 86% | 71–78 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.