Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -600 EMU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +21 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -18.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -14.3 (+6.7) | 148.3 (+2.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -13.1 (+7.9) | 148.2 (+2.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -14.9 (+6.1) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -14.9 (+6.1) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-11 |
| Home | 9-1 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 80.4 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#117) | -12.3 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#126) | -2.03 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#131) | -2.53 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#106) | 0.412 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 25.7% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 61.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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