Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M +200 LSU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -8.8 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -6.3 (-5.7) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -6.0 (-6.0) | 140.1 (+3.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -8.1 (-3.9) | 143.3 (+0.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -7.3 (-4.7) | 140.3 (+3.7) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-10 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 2-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 6-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#146) | 12.5 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#98) | 1.94 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#119) | 2.62 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#142) | 0.607 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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