Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Over |
| Money | FOR +275 DUQ -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +24 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -8.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 109.3 (+38.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -6.9 (-17.1) | 122.0 (+26.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -6.0 (-18.0) | 129.4 (+18.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -9.6 (-14.4) | 123.9 (+24.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -7.5 (-16.5) | 125.5 (+22.5) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | DUQ 74 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DUQ 73 – 64 FOR |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FOR 65 – 63 DUQ |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FOR 79 – 67 DUQ |
| Jan 27, 2024 | DUQ 68 – 59 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-12 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 2-11 | 7-7 |
| Home | 2-5 | 5-1 |
| Away | 0-6 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.8 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#310) | 0.4 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#295) | -0.07 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#320) | 0.28 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#303) | 0.495 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.9% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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