Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -300 UK +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +11 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -12.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -12.1 (-1.1) | 144.0 (-15.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -9.3 (+1.7) | 147.6 (-18.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -11.5 (-0.5) | 145.6 (-16.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -11.6 (-0.6) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ALA 89 – 74 UK |
| Mar 15, 2025 | ALA 99 – 70 UK |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ALA 96 – 83 UK |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ALA 102 – 97 UK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UK 117 – 95 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-7 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-9 |
| Home | 12-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#8) | 8.0 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.89 (#16) | 0.80 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#18) | 1.80 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#7) | 0.536 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.