Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 180.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -750 UK +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +13 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -5.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 182.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -7.2 (+5.8) | 175.3 (+3.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -8.3 (+4.7) | 173.7 (+5.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -7.9 (+5.1) | 172.4 (+6.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -6.2 (+6.8) | 177.2 (+1.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ALA 89 – 74 UK |
| Mar 15, 2025 | ALA 99 – 70 UK |
| Jan 18, 2025 | ALA 102 – 97 UK |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UK 117 – 95 ALA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | ALA 78 – 52 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.7 | 84.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 21.4 (#6) | 19.2 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#3) | 3.16 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.87 (#5) | 3.87 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.679 (#2) | 0.627 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.