Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -300 SIUE +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +13 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -5.9 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -3.5 (-16.5) | 146.2 (+14.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -3.2 (-16.2) | 143.3 (+17.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -4.8 (-17.8) | 146.3 (+14.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -3.0 (-16.0) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 2-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#274) | -10.3 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#298) | -0.85 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#303) | -1.26 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#297) | 0.481 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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