Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +300 URI -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +13 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -6.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -5.1 (-7.9) | 140.0 (-7.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.7 (-8.3) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.5 (-7.5) | 140.2 (-7.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -5.3 (-7.7) | 140.0 (-7.0) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 7-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#191) | 7.6 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#154) | 0.87 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#170) | 1.74 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.528 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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