Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -450 MSST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +3 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -13.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -10.9 (-7.9) | 135.1 (-26.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -9.7 (-6.7) | 130.9 (-21.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -11.7 (-8.7) | 134.3 (-25.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.8 (-8.8) | 134.7 (-25.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | TENN 73 – 64 MSST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | TENN 68 – 56 MSST |
| Mar 15, 2024 | MSST 73 – 56 TENN |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MSST 77 – 72 TENN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | TENN 70 – 59 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#10) | 5.5 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#29) | 0.91 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#30) | 1.63 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#55) | 0.521 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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