Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -150 OU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +1 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -4.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.0 (-7.0) | 143.0 (+16.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.9 (-4.9) | 142.7 (+16.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.5 (-4.5) | 145.6 (+13.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -4.5 (-5.5) | 142.9 (+16.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 16-11 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 9-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#13) | 13.8 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#7) | 2.73 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.89 (#7) | 3.45 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.663 (#5) | 0.587 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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